Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.001554 0.001615 0.001678 0.001747 0.001822 0.001901 0.001990
2025-07-27 0.001463 0.001551 0.001646 0.001755 0.001878 0.002015 0.002179
2025-08-03 0.001383 0.001488 0.001603 0.001742 0.001904 0.002091 0.002326
2025-08-10 0.001335 0.001454 0.001589 0.001754 0.001955 0.002195 0.002513
2025-08-17 0.001285 0.001413 0.001560 0.001745 0.001976 0.002261 0.002655
2025-08-24 0.001237 0.001371 0.001527 0.001727 0.001982 0.002308 0.002773
2025-08-31 0.001221 0.001365 0.001535 0.001758 0.002051 0.002437 0.003017
2025-09-07 0.001195 0.001345 0.001525 0.001765 0.002087 0.002525 0.003209
2025-09-14 0.001161 0.001313 0.001498 0.001748 0.002088 0.002562 0.003328
2025-09-21 0.001127 0.001279 0.001467 0.001723 0.002077 0.002579 0.003417
2025-09-28 0.001100 0.001254 0.001445 0.001708 0.002079 0.002616 0.003540
2025-10-05 0.001057 0.001207 0.001394 0.001652 0.002018 0.002552 0.003484
2025-10-12 0.001036 0.001188 0.001379 0.001646 0.002030 0.002603 0.003638
2025-10-19 0.001023 0.001179 0.001376 0.001655 0.002065 0.002692 0.003876
2025-10-26 0.001003 0.001159 0.001359 0.001644 0.002068 0.002731 0.004026
2025-11-02 0.000992 0.001152 0.001358 0.001656 0.002106 0.002830 0.004311
2025-11-09 0.000975 0.001136 0.001344 0.001648 0.002113 0.002876 0.004495
2025-11-16 0.000956 0.001116 0.001325 0.001632 0.002107 0.002898 0.004630
2025-11-23 0.000954 0.001119 0.001336 0.001660 0.002172 0.003054 0.005112
2025-11-30 0.000944 0.001111 0.001332 0.001666 0.002202 0.003147 0.005468
2025-12-07 0.000927 0.001093 0.001315 0.001651 0.002194 0.003167 0.005637
2025-12-14 0.000909 0.001073 0.001293 0.001628 0.002174 0.003162 0.005732
2025-12-21 0.000895 0.001059 0.001279 0.001615 0.002169 0.003187 0.005924